BOT: Strengthening Financial Oversight to Address Baht Pressures and Enhance Stability
The Thai baht continues to face pressures stemming from global monetary policy divergences, volatile capital movements, and heightened risks associated with financial crime. Despite robust macroeconomic fundamentals and record-high foreign exchange reserves, the Bank of Thailand (BoT) has implemented a multifaceted strategy that extends beyond traditional monetary policy tools. This approach addresses vulnerabilities in financial transparency, misuse of cash, flows through alternative assets such as gold, and cross-border digital fraud.
Key initiatives include intensified monitoring of large cash withdrawals to disrupt grey funds, enhanced regulatory scrutiny of gold transactions, deepened collaboration with international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank to combat digital fraud, and targeted foreign exchange interventions to ensure orderly market conditions.
1. Enhanced Monitoring of Large Cash Withdrawals and Grey Funds
The BoT is advancing stricter oversight of substantial cash withdrawals via commercial banks. Institutions will be required to identify and report transactions exceeding a designated threshold—anticipated to range between THB 3 million and THB 5 million—and to document the customer’s declared purpose. This measure targets the use of cash in illicit or opaque activities, including mule accounts, which are increasingly difficult to reconcile with modern payment preferences favoring electronic transfers. These efforts complement strengthened customer due diligence (CDD) and know-your-customer (KYC) protocols, while aligning with parallel controls on gold as an alternative channel for fund movements outside conventional banking systems.
2. International Collaboration to Counter Digital Fraud
In recognition of the cross-border and technology-driven nature of financial crime, the BoT has intensified partnerships with the IMF and World Bank. These collaborations focus on developing supervisory frameworks, sharing intelligence, and aligning domestic regulations with global standards to mitigate online scams, mule networks, and technology-enabled money laundering. The strategy emphasizes three core elements: reducing digital fraud incidence, bolstering cybersecurity resilience, and enhancing the readiness of Thailand’s digital financial ecosystem to safeguard societal financial well-being.
3. Baht Stabilization and Record Foreign Exchange Reserves
The BoT maintains a managed float regime, intervening only to moderate excessive volatility and preserve orderly conditions without pursuing a specific exchange-rate target. Recent baht appreciation—reaching near five-year highs and breaching 31 baht per US dollar—has been partly attributed to gold-related inflows rather than underlying economic fundamentals. To mitigate such pressures, the BoT is reinforcing oversight of gold transactions to curb short-term baht volatility from synchronized large-scale sales and to limit risks from grey capital flows via gold as a conversion or transfer mechanism.
4. Regulatory Updates on Gold and Foreign Exchange Transactions
On 26 January 2026, the Royal Gazette published Exchange Control Notifications No. 35 and No. 36, issued by the Competent Officer for Rules and Practices Relating to Foreign Exchange. These instruments refine the framework for gold trading and foreign exchange operations to promote transparency and audit-ability among high-value participants.
• Notification No. 36 (effective from 27 January 2026) introduces stricter requirements for major gold traders—those involved in importing or exporting gold and averaging at least THB 10 billion per year in domestic gold transactions over the preceding five calendar years (or equivalent at market rates). Such entities must: (i) submit transaction data electronically via BoT-designated systems or methods; (ii) ensure the accuracy and completeness of reported information, with the Competent Officer retaining authority to request supplementary details as necessary; and (iii) retain relevant records and supporting documentation for a minimum of three years for inspection purposes.
• Notification No. 35 modernizes foreign exchange rules to reflect prevailing economic conditions. It relaxes certain obligations for foreign currency acquisitions below USD 10 million (or equivalent), permits individuals to execute direct overseas payments up to USD 5 million per person annually, and mandates licensed entities to verify investor compliance, secure required reports through BoT systems, maintain documentation for at least five years, and prevent misuse for speculation, unlicensed cross-border payments, or regulatory circumvention.
Potential Implications:
These measures will impose greater compliance and reporting obligations on banks, gold traders, digital platforms, corporate entities, and high-net-worth individuals. Cross-border operations may experience increased alignment with international norms, potentially reducing flexibility while enhancing predictability and transparency.
In summary, the BoT’s integrated response underscores the interconnected nature of contemporary financial risks across cash, alternative assets, digital channels, and international flows. By addressing both immediate pressures and underlying vulnerabilities, these policies aim to reinforce systemic resilience and sustain confidence in Thailand’s financial framework.
Key Takeaways:
• The BoT is prioritizing transparency in gold and cash transactions to mitigate baht volatility and curb illicit flows.
• Notification No. 36 mandates reporting and record-keeping for major gold traders (THB 10 billion+ average annual domestic volume).
• Notification No. 35 eases certain foreign exchange thresholds while strengthening compliance safeguards.
• International partnerships and domestic oversight enhancements target digital fraud and grey funds.
• Market participants should prepare for heightened scrutiny, robust documentation, and proactive adaptation to ensure regulatory alignment.
Author: Panisa Suwanmatajarn, Managing Partner.
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